(By ATFX Analyst Team)

 

Key Takeaways

  • Tensions escalated as the U.S. and Iran engaged in the largest maritime exchange in six months near the Strait of Hormuz, pushing Brent crude above $100/bbl.
  • U.S. equities remained under pressure, Treasury yields rose even after the Treasury tripled long‑term bond buybacks, and a softer dollar supported gold.
  • Markets expect the ECB to hike rates by 25 bps, reflecting August inflation exceeding the 2% target. Lagarde’s tone will determine whether this hike signals a pause; a dovish hike could weigh on the euro.
  • U.S. August PPI (expected 5.3%) will set the tone ahead of Friday’s CPI; stronger inflation would lift Fed hike expectations, push yields higher, support the dollar, and weigh on gold.

 

Global Market Review 10/09/2026

  • U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday as rising oil prices and disappointing buyback details weighed on sentiment.
  • Treasury yields jumped; the DXY held at 98.83, near a two‑week low.
  • Gold rose more than 1%.
  • Brent crude broke $100, and WTI moved above $95.

 

Key Events Today

Time (GMT+8)EventImportance
14:00EU GERMANY CPI YoY Final AUG**
20:15ECB Interest Rate Decision***
20:00OPEC Monthly Report**
20:30US PPI AUG***
20:30US Initial Jobless Claims***
20:45ECB Press Conference***
22:00US Existing Home Sales AUG**

Key Events on Sep 11 (GMT+8)

Time (GMT+8)EventImportance
00:00EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change**
07:50JP PPI YoY AUG**
14:00GB GDP JUL***
14:00GB Industrial & Manufacturing Production JUL**
20:30US CPI AUG***
22:00US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel SEP***
22:00ECB President Lagarde Speech***

 

Markets Analysis 10/09/2026

  • Resistance: 1.1656 / 1.1673
  • Support: 1.1622 / 1.1601

EUR/USD edged higher ahead of the ECB rate hike and U.S. PPI data.

Analyst view: A hawkish ECB could push the pair above 1.1650 towards the August highs; a weak forward-guidance hike could send it towards 1.1600.

Bias: Wait-and-see

 

  • Resistance: 1.3575 / 1.3599
  • Support: 1.3522 / 1.3498

GBP/USD reached a one-week high on Wednesday amid a softer dollar.

Analyst view: GBPUSD is likely to consolidate around the 10–20-day moving averages; market participants await U.S. PPI, and the ECB rate and path offer indirect direction.

Bias: Wait-and-see

 

  • Resistance: 153.84 / 154.06
  • Support: 153.30 / 153.12

USD/JPY held above 153; hawkish BOJ expectations continue to support the yen, limiting the 154 mark.

Analyst view: USDJPY has been in a three-day decline with a narrowing range ahead of key US inflation data this week. While bears are currently dominant, momentum seems to be slowing as the dollar softens ahead of the US PPI release.

Bias: Low‑range consolidation

 

  • Resistance: 97.58 / 97.92
  • Support: 95.81 / 95.38

Oil prices continued to rise due to escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran, as well as higher price forecasts from the EIA (Energy Information Administration).

Analyst view: US crude is reaching multi‑month highs and awaits profit‑taking unless geopolitical risks intensify.

Bias: Cautious at highs

 

  • Resistance: 4446 / 4467
  • Support: 4381 / 4361

 

  • Resistance: 69.10 / 70.01
  • Support: 66.31 / 65.16

Despite surging Treasury yields, precious metals have regained their safe-haven appeal amid pressure on the US dollar.

Analyst view: Spot gold remains below the 10-day MA and is awaiting key US inflation data; a break above $4410 could open the door to $4467, with US PPI in focus today. Investors should watch the upcoming US CPI on Friday to gauge key direction ahead of the FOMC meeting on Sep 17.

Bias: Mild rebound

 

  • Resistance: 52773 / 53152
  • Support: 52023 / 51548

U.S. stocks extended losses on Wednesday as Treasury yields climbed and Brent crude crossed $100, while markets remained cautious amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and upcoming inflation data.

Analyst view: Two‑day drop to late‑July lows; bulls may defend 52000, with eyes on US PPI to guide Treasury yield expectations today.

Bias: Under pressure

 

  • Resistance: 29525 / 29627
  • Support: 29319 / 29215

Treasury yields jumped, and tech stocks came under pressure after U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent announced a new bond buyback plan.

Analyst view: US PPI will determine whether NAS100 breaks below key MAs toward 29000 or rebounds.

Bias: Under pressure

 

  • Resistance: 79252 / 79979
  • Support: 77840 / 77140

Rising U.S. Treasury yields, stronger recent jobs data, and an oil price spike kept macro risk appetite subdued, pressuring Bitcoin and broader risk assets.

Analyst view: BTC briefly broke above major MAs but failed near $80000; short‑term bias remains pressured.

Bias: Under pressure

Enjoy trading! The content is for reference only. Please ensure that you understand the risk.

ATFX

Restrictions on Use

Products and Services on this website are not available for Hong Kong investors and not related to any corporation licensed by the Securities and Futures Commission in Hong Kong.

All the information and materials posted on this website should not be regarded as or constitute a distribution, an offer, solicitation to buy or sell any investments.

使用限制:本網站的產品及服務不適用於香港投資者及與任何香港證監會持牌公司無關。

網站內部的信息和素材不應被視為分銷,要約,買入或賣出任何投資產品。