(By ATFX Analyst Team)

Key Takeaways

  • President Trump demanded compensation from Iran, adding uncertainty to negotiations over reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices rebounded sharply; U.S. equities fell; the dollar edged higher; while gold extended its rally to a nine‑week high.
  • Today’s focus: The RBA rate decision is expected to keep rates unchanged. Markets will watch whether the RBA maintains restrictive policy. If the RBA softens its hawkish stance or signals economic slowdown risks, AUD may face downside pressure. Conversely, if sticky inflation prompts continued hawkish rhetoric, AUD could benefit.

 

Global Market Review 11/08/2026

U.S. equities fell Monday, led by declines in Intel and other chipmakers. Dow ‑0.1%, S&P 500 ‑0.06%, Nasdaq ‑0.32%.

U.S. Treasuries fell, tracking weakness in European bonds. Dollar index +0.20%.

Gold extended gains to nine‑week highs.

Oil surged over 6% as U.S. and Iran exchanged compensation demands, clouding prospects of a Strait reopening deal.

 

Key Events Today:

  • Japan Holiday
  • 12:30 RBA Interest Rate Decision ***
  • 13:30 RBA Press Conference ***
  • 22:00 US Existing Home Sales JUL **

August 12(GMT+8)

  • 04:30 API Crude Oil Stock Change ***
  • 14:00 EU GERMANY CPI YoY Final JUL **
  • 20:00 OPEC Monthly Report **
  • 20:30 US CPI YoY JUL ***
  • 22:30 EIA Crude Oil Stock Change **

 

Markets Analysis 11/08/2026

  • Resistance: 1.1566 / 1.1581
  • Support: 1.1533 / 1.1518

EUR/USD slipped on Monday as Strait uncertainty indirectly supported the dollar.

Analyst View: Trading in range. Must hold 10‑day MA near 1.1530 to sustain consolidation. Awaiting U.S. CPI.

Bias: Range trading

  • Resistance: 1.3558 / 1.3591
  • Support: 1.3483 / 1.3449

GBP/USD rose for two days, hitting highs since July 16, though momentum slowed ahead of U.S. CPI.

Analyst View: Holding above 1.3500, may test mid‑July highs. Watch resistance at 1.3558.

Bias: Mildly bullish

  • Resistance: 160.05 / 160.89
  • Support: 158.06 / 157.40

Yen fell 0.96% on Monday, the biggest drop in five months. USD/JPY back above 159.

Analyst View: Testing 10‑day MA. Holding above could attract buyers toward 160.

Bias: Short‑term bullish

  • Resistance: 83.61/85.08
  • Support: 79.15/77.31

Oil jumped to one‑week highs as compensation demands dimmed Strait reopening hopes.

Analyst View: Broke 10‑day MA, now near 20‑day MA. A breakout above could extend the rebound past $83.

Bias: Short‑term rebound

  • Resistance: 4486 / 4552
  • Support: 4382 / 4317
  • Resistance: 67.53 / 68.53
  • Support: 65.29 / 64.27

Gold extended rally to nine‑week highs despite stronger dollar and oil. However, expect some positioning to grow cautious ahead of tomorrow’s US CPI data.

Analyst View: Above $4,400, but pre-CPI caution may cap gains before $4,500.

Bias: Cautious follow‑through

  • Resistance: 54,377 / 54,583
  • Support: 53,708 / 53,498

Trump’s call for Iran reparations during Strait of Hormuz tensions dampened sentiment, with the Dow finishing flat after range-bound trading.

Analyst View: Likely narrow range until CPI. May test resistance above 54,000.

Bias: Range trading

  • Resistance: 29,869 / 30,203
  • Support: 29,443 / 29,110

A sell-off in AI chip stocks dragged down tech shares. Still, big tech saw Microsoft surge 5.71%, with Nasdaq retreating from a 3-day peak.

Analyst View: Stalled rally, facing resistance near 29,954. Likely range trading.

Bias: Range trading

  • Resistance: 64,569 / 65,125
  • Support: 63,327 / 62,762

Bitcoin slipped below $65k on Monday as an oil surge hurt risk sentiment. Strategy’s BTC sale added pressure.

Analyst View: Largest drop in two weeks, broke 10‑day MA. Staying below adds downside risk toward $63k.

Bias: Short‑term correction

 

Enjoy trading! The content is for reference only. Please ensure that you understand the risk.

ATFX

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