Key Takeaways:

  • September payrolls came in at just 29K, well below expectations, as unemployment rose to 4.2% and the labor market cooled.
  • U.S. stocks extended a mild rebound, led by the Nasdaq, while WTI retreated from its highs to below $90.
  • Gold, supported by a weaker Dollar and safe-haven buying, held above $4,145 but remained capped by high yields.
  • The Hang Seng stayed weak below 24,000 amid high yields, tight liquidity, the mainland China holiday, and southbound flows.

Today’s Focus: Final Services and Composite PMIs across major economies, especially the U.S. September Services PMI, will gauge U.S. growth and indirectly the Fed’s rate path. Thursday’s Fed minutes are this week’s focus.

 

Global Market Review 05/10/2026

  • Treasury yields retreated after the data, with the 10-year fall to 5.28% and the Dollar Index to around 101.9.
  • The three major U.S. indices extended their mild rebound, led by the Nasdaq (+1.9%).
  • WTI fell below $90 in early Monday trade, while gold rebounded to $4,160 after the data and held above $4,145.

 

Important Economic Calendar

Key Events on October 5 (GMT+8)

  • China Holiday
Time (GMT+8)EventImportance
06:00AU Services & Composite PMI Final SEP**
08:30JP Services & Composite PMI Final SEP**
15:55DE Services & Composite PMI Final SEP**
16:00EU Services & Composite PMI Final SEP**
16:30UK Services & Composite PMI Final SEP**
16:30EU Sentix Investor Confidence OCT**
17:00EU PPI AUG**
21:45US Services & Composite PMI Final SEP**
22:00US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI SEP***

Key Events on October 6 (GMT+8)

  • China Holiday
Time (GMT+8)EventImportance
TBD JP Bank of Japan Governor Speech***
17:00EU Retail Sales AUG**
20:30US Trade Balance AUG**

 

Markets Analysis 05/10/2026

  • Resistance: 1.1313/1.1355
  • Support: 1.1217/1.1176

Analyst’s View: EUR/USD is staging a modest recovery amid a softer Dollar and lower yields but remains cautiously bearish; a break above 1.1355 would extend the rebound, while a drop below 1.1176 would open more downside.

Bias: Low-Level Oscillation, Cautiously Bullish; Watch Eurozone and U.S. PMIs

 

  • Resistance: 1.3274/1.3334
  • Support: 1.3179/1.3118

Analyst’s View: GBP/USD is attracting short-term inflows as the Dollar retreats, but it remains capped by slowing UK growth and BoE policy uncertainty. A break above the 1.3274/1.3334 zone would confirm a recovery, while a drop below 1.3118 would expose the downside.

Bias: Hovering near lows, cautiously bullish; watch for a break above resistance

 

  • Resistance: 157.97/158.22
  • Support: 157.42/157.18

Analyst’s View: USD/JPY leans toward testing support. A hold above 157.18 could allow a rebound, while a break below it opens further downside, with Treasury yields and BoJ signals in focus.

Bias: Mild Decline; watch whether key support holds

 

  • Resistance: 91.78/92.74
  • Support: 88.69/87.75

Analyst’s View: WTI is firmly oscillating amid Middle East tensions and supply concerns, with direction hinging on geopolitics and U.S. inventory data; a break above $91.78 could extend gains, while a drop below $88.69 risks a return to its downward channel.

Bias: Oscillating with Bullish Bias; watch for a break of resistance

 

  • Resistance: 4189/4214
  • Support: 4135/4111

 

  • Resistance: 62.39/63.03
  • Support: 60.96/60.31

Analyst’s View: Gold rebounded to around $4,160 after the weak payrolls but remains capped by high yields, with a neutral RSI and repairing but limited MACD momentum. A break above 4189/4214 would target $4,228, while a drop below $4,135 risks $4,111. Silver, rebounding above $61, tracks it within a 60.96–62.39 range.

Bias: Cautiously Bullish

 

  • Resistance: 51440/51648
  • Support: 50972/50759

Analyst’s View: The Dow is rebounding amid weak jobs data; a break above 51440/51648 would extend gains, while a breakdown below support risks a fall toward 50332, with yields and macro data adding volatility.

Bias: Mild Rebound; watch for a break of resistance

 

  • Resistance: 31023/31115
  • Support: 30786/30714

Analyst’s View: The Nasdaq is lifted by weak payrolls and lower yields and could strengthen further on a break above 30,805. A breach of 30786/30714 risks a pullback to 30356, with this evening’s U.S. Services PMI the next guide.

Bias: Short-Term Rebound; watch prior-high resistance

 

  • Resistance: 87369/87926
  • Support: 86102/85536

Analyst’s View: BTC shows strength with institutional and ETF inflows after US bond yields slid, testing resistance at 87,369–87,926. However, overhead resistance remains heavy. Failure to hold $84,800 support could trigger a deeper correction, with support at $82,570.

Bias: Short-term bullish, medium-term cautious.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.

ATFX

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